[Note: This post has been edited slightly for clarity. In the first sentence of the last paragraph, "when I vote" has been changed to "when I vote pro-life;" and the phrase "(or not voting)" has been added to the final sentence. -- Simcha Fisher at 11:43 ET]
"We're not that much smarter than we used to be," says statistical analyst Nate Silver, "Even though we have much more information."
Silver is the author of The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail – But Some Don't, and in a recent interview on Fresh Air, he pointed out that the internet age has created a real problem: too much information, not enough meaning.
He says, "That means the real skill...READ MORE